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Historical Accuracy
by Andrew D. Hyder

Forecast Market Software is one of today's most accurate index forecasting systems in the industry and a true breakthrough in quantitative analysis of the markets. Based in the discipline of mathematical probability and the study of repeating patterns FMS wades through massive amounts of data that are commonly too difficult or obscure for humans to quantify. The system is based squarely in technical analysis of large amounts of such data. This data however, by its nature, incorporates and compensates for knowledge of fundamental activity and random news events. Aligning your funds with the forecasting system requires a realistic caution; and the understanding that forecasts by their nature require a percentage of inaccuracy to function properly. This means that the system must take losses from time to time in order to take long term gains. Inaccurate forecasts are an important part of the success of the FMS trade group offered at www.subjex.com and a critical point to understand if you trade on the Free Daily Forecast. No legitimate program can or will ever be correct 100% of the time. Anomalies such as unexpected world events have long been the bane of quantitative systems; however FMS incorporates compensation logic for such events and as a result is also one of the most stable systems in the industry. This is clearly evident in its remarkable low draw downs.

What happens if it moves in a direction different than the forecast? A critical part of the system is its forecast accuracy. Currently the system is approximately 75% accurate with its forecasts measured over the last year. This means that the forecasts will be incorrect at least 25% of the time. If the market has a volatile day when the forecast is wrong it can have a significant negative impact. Therefore if you trade on this information be VERY careful. If you commit to a trade today you have the increased risk of the market not closing where you thought it was going to close. As a risk reducing alternative, we suggest that you join the FMS trade group; the group uses the "other half" of the FMS engine, (the trade discipline).

The FMS Daily Forecast is available free to investors and market traders. The forecasts allow investors to take profits in rising and falling markets making it an ideal market neutral strategy. To subscribe to the Forecast Market Software daily forecast, Click Here.

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© 2007.  Forecast Market Software, Subjex Corporation.  All Rights Reserved.
Disclaimer: Trading in the markets not appropriate for everyone. There is a risk of loss associated with trading in the markets.
Losses can and will occur. No system or methodology can 100% guarantee profits or ensure freedom from losses. No representation or
implication is being made that using the information on this website will generate guaranteed profits or ensure freedom from losses.
In fact, losses when understood and managed properly, losses are part of the success that this website teaches.